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Tuesday, April 22, 2008

NBA West Playoff Preview 



NBA West Preview

#4 Houston Rockets vs. #5 Utah Jazz

McGrady went 0 for the 4th quarter in game one. There is a reason why this guy has never won a playoff series folks. Battier and Dikembe Mutombo could be on anybody's all heart, all grit, hard nosed all stars, but it isn't enough. As for the Jazz stars, Boozer, we don't love him, but we respect him. Deron Williams, it is suddenly an era of point guards, and there is no shame in being the third best point guard to Steve Nash and Chris Paul. Jerry Sloan is a good coach, the role players like Brewer, Kirilenko and Korver are solid. The Jazz cruise past the Rockets. They beat a better Rockets team last year.

#3 San Antonio Spurs vs. #6 Phoenix Suns

The Clarion is openly pulling for the Suns. We respect the heck out of the aptly nicknamed, Big Fundamental, Tim Duncan. The role players Finely, Bowen and Horry have aged. Former Knick, and once the leading scorer and rebounder in the NCAA, Kurt Thomas, may make a minimal contribution. Brent Barry is a stiff who can make a standstill three pointer. The real key for the Spurs is the play of Tony Parker and Manu Ginobili. These two guys for all there apparent flaws and issues, always find a way to come up big in the clutch. Bigger than Steve Nash? Well maybe not, but the Suns supporting cast doesn't match the Spurs. Amare Stoudemire is a head case who plays no defense. Barbosa and Diaw would be great in a pick-up game, but this is for keeps and that is when they come up smallest. Grant Hill is 107 years old, and moron coach Mike D'Antoni played him nearly 32 minutes per game. And don't forget, Hill is in the Tracy McGrady boat himself, having never won a playoff series. We want the Suns to win. We love Nash (Sadly, he is too old, slow and beat-up to play even passable defense any more.) He is the toughest guy in the series and a surefire Hall of Famer. His will to win is indomitable. His desire and decision making are first class. He's a great clutch shooter, too, but the cards are stacked against the Suns. They will probably make it so tough on the Spurs that they will soften them for future opponents. Without home court, though, it will be too much, the Spurs win in six or seven.

#2 New Orleans Hornets vs. #7 Dallas Mavericks

Chris Paul is the best player on either team. Jason Kidd is old and slowing down. He was never much in the half court offense anyway. Dirk Nowitzki has shown toughness that surprised the Clarion in returning from a late season injury, but can he be 100%? Byron Scott is so much of a better coach than Avery Johnson that if Avery touches Scott's clipboard it spontaneously bursts into flames. Do the Mavs win one game? They certainly win no more than two.

#1 Los Angeles Lakers vs. #8 Denver Nuggets

Again, the Clarion has a rooting interest. Faithful readers will note this kind of thing often interferes with our ability to pick and predict sporting events objectively. What can we say? We dislike Kobe, primarily because of the way he ran Shaq off, but from way before that our ire was raised when he engineered an anti-competitive, near collusion, draft day trade ala Elway and Eli Manning. Whereas, we love some Allen Iverson. Yes we know all about, practice, and Allen's enthusiasm for practice, but he is a thoughtful, complex guy. Maybe not someone many suburbanites can relate to but a bright, introspective guy, not all from the wacky, selfish mold of say a Stephon Starbury. Starbury made the same salary as A.I. this season, the difference was Iverson played all 82 games, and nearly 42 minutes per. That is not a typo, nearly 42 minutes a game at 165 pounds soaking wet. Those Dwayne Wade commercials fall down seven times get up eight, were made about the more photogenic guy, not the tougher guy. On paper we like the Nuggets, Carmelo Anthony, Camby, and KMart all have All-Star caliber skills. J.R. Smith can light it up. The problem is outside of Eduardo Najera's 20 minutes nobody on the Nuggets plays a lick of defense. Gasol and Kobe will probably annihilate them but screw it, we saw A.I. carry a far less gifted Sixers team all the way to the finals. The Clarion is taking the Nuggets in six. (Once the bickering starts in L.A. Kobe will be glaring at teammates, showing them up, refusing to shoot for a quarter. The Lakers are a paper tiger.)

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Comments:
Rockets/Jazz- I agree with your prediction.. This would have been a different series with Yao, the best center in the game.
Jazz in 5

Spurs/Suns- We differ here fundamentally. We both predict the same outcome, but I think Spurs sweep. They are, like it or not, the Patriots of the NBA. Golden boy at the heart of the team surrounded by extremely talented and extremely underrated studs. Spurs in 4

Hornets/Mavs- I have trouble with this one. On the one hand, Dallas will definitely not win a title with this team. Trading good young young talent (Devin Harris) for aging, overrated Jason Kidd was the season's biggest mistake by any team. Kidd is 5 years past his prime, a liability on offense, and tremendously overpaid. That being said, the Hornets are the Hornets1 They won't win a title, either, although Paul has impressed the crap out of me with his sustained excellence. Clearly one of, if not the, best *g in the game today.
Hornets in 6
Lakers/Nuggets- Nuggets = a bunch of selfish, under-achieving, overpaid whiners with crappy support. Lakers = one selfish, over-acheiving, whining star with OK support. Difference? Kobe is the best player in the NBA. Outside of Tim Duncan, in my opinion, who would you rather build a team around? Even after 10 years, Kobe is freakin' dominant! Personal issues aside, Kobe carries the Lakers to the Conference Finals.
Lakers in 5


caveat- As of posting time, West series have all gone 2 games...
So, Series predictions:
Lakers over Jazz in 5
Spurs over Hornets in 4
Spurs over Lakers in 6
 
Yao is the best center in the game? Should I imagine you were huffing gasoline right before you typed that? Even if you have some thought that Duncan is a power forward, which he is not, have you seen Dwight Howard? He'd taken Yao's candy soft butt out behind the wood shed and whup him so bad, you don't wanna know...

As for the rest yeah, you are right about the Spurs, tough. Still I think the supporting cast is aging. I believe the Suns are screwed, they are not winning four out of five from the Spurs, but I still think they take the next two in Phoenix. Back to San Antonio 2-2 for a heartbreaking loss in Game 5.

Chris Paul is destroying Jason Kidd to the point where he maybe should be considering retirement.

The Nuggets. Again you're right about...
Nuggets = a bunch of selfish, under-achieving, overpaid whiners with crappy support. Lakers = one selfish, over-achieving, whining star with OK support.

But we disagree about Kobe, for me he has to win a title without Shaq to realize elite pantheon type status. Otherwise, he is a phenomenal scorer who never won a title without a big man. Kobe is a player who was once selfish enough to refuse to shoot for (if you'll pardon the juxtaposition) a whole half of a critical playoff game, just to make a point. Ugh. I hope he is never a Knick. Let me say, I would much, much, much rather the Knicks build around LeBron than Kobe.
 
pretty cool blog, thanks for stopping by mine.

i'll be swinging by here when bored at work.
 
Thanks ebj!! Good luck slacking off as much as possible at work.
 
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