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Friday, March 21, 2008

Bear Stearns 



Sports talk radio show host Jim Rome speared the recently collapsed investment bank Bear Stearns this afternoon with a heck of a skewer. Paraphrasing what Rome said, 'Today, Tiger Woods and Alex Rodriguez, both of them, are worth more than Bear Sterns!!'

Rome may be technically correct based on the bargain basement $236 million, $2 per share price JP Morgan paid for Bear Sterns yesterday. Was this price the final insult of a deal railroaded through by the Federal Reserve and Treasury Secretary Hank Paulson, favoring the fear of the status quo crisis over the future moral hazard?

The Clarion long a detractor of insurance, a conservative with a tiny 'c' loathes the interference of the government, this administration. There is no arguing that this administration has been a massive expander of the Federal Budget and the Federal debt. They will tell you it had to be done, this rescue, and it will be years from now before we can see clearly, if ever, who was right and wrong. But in the long decline of the American hegemon, mark this as another notch on the bedpost. A clichéd sequence in time where the overdependence of the economy on financial services kicked the taxpayer square in the groin. This deal will cost billions. Did it head off catastrophe? Quien sabe? But even if it did, doesn't that need point to major systemic issues for the American economy?

Two other notes. This first neither proves nor disproves the merits of the deal, but it is ironic. The New York Times' Andrew Sorkin pointed out that Bear's headquarters on Madison Avenue is valued at $1.2 billion. This would value Bear Stearns at $8 share (not $2) if it could truly fetch that hefty price.

The other note seemingly unrelated except in the Clarion's minds eye, the physical cracking of the infrastructure of the American state was on display today in Philadelphia. A six foot crack opened in a pylon on Interstate 95 that will close a three mile section of highway used by an estimated 190,000 commuters per day. Traffic was snarled today on the pothole ridden streets of Richmond Avenue according the Philadelphia Inquirer.

While money is poured down the drain maintaining the Empire, the streets and highways of America are crumbling. (Not to mention the water pipes.)

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Comments:
Our administration: Bear Stearns > New Orleans
 
I could not have said it more pointedly or poignantly.
 
MS is currently working on a deal for the state of Pennsylvania where they are looking to privatize the Penna turnpike. Currently Australian infrastructure groups have the most interest. Since we don't have any money to work on our own infrastructure, we'll just sell it! Craziness.

http://www.reuters.com/article/fundsFundsNews/idUSSYD23847220070918
 
My dear Song-

It is unnerving to watch. America feels like it is unraveling awfully fast.

While the urge to allow the market to remain unfettered to act is strong, and the Aussies are probably quite benevolent, these sovereign funds represent a particular vexing strand of globalism. Their interests are inevitably geopolitical as well as economic. (Despite the "promises" rung from a couple of them by Hank Paulson and Chuck Schmuer.)

America is hurting itself on multiple fronts by massively under investing in its infrastructure in a panoply of forms from transportation to energy to education. It is amazing to think that twenty years on from the collapse of the bipolar excuse for the massive military industrial complex that it has come to this state.
 
I agree the price is wrong, especially since the Fed (that means us) is now on the hook for the value of the acquired assets. However, some action had to be taken to forestall the herd move to panic. As the price rose this week the correct strategy was to shift more of the collectibility risk to the buyer. The $10 price is still a bargain with more room for the Fed to push.
 
Anon-

The Fed stopped the panic, at least temporarily, but at what future cost, not just in real dollars, but in behavior modification.
 
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