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Sunday, March 09, 2008

Who's winning what voters? 

The Clarion felt it would happen coming off of Barack Obama’s win in the Wyoming caucuses last week. Hillary Clinton is arguing that Obama is winning states and voters that won’t matter in November. Wyoming is the perfect example for her case. It hasn’t voted Democratic since 1964. It is the home of the evil Vice President, Dick Cheney.

The irony is the Clarion was thinking just the opposite. We feel that Hillary is hewing to the center and winning voters that are ultimately going to break for McCain in the fall. Hillary appears to be gaining traction amongst so called Reagan-Democrats. A demographic that when compared to Obama's has more older, white males, who are middle class or poorer. The Associated Press has a fascinating story about the affects of Obama’s race on the selection process. One of the first essays that the Clarion has seen that addresses the issue of race and the election head on. Even before this piece, the Clarion was seeing Democratic primary voters who are rejecting Obama now, as containing significant numbers of folks who will ultimately vote for McCain in the fall. It is our belief a Hillary Clinton nomination, especially achieved via superdelegates, will supress voter turnout with her negativity. If she is able to vanquish Obama it will be through politics as usual and will squash the morale of young and black voters alike. (Both are core Obama constituencies. Clinton has her own core contituencies that will not be turned off.)

Then we saw a a stunning LA Times piece which takes the issue of whom Clinton’s primary voters are, way further, questioning the reality and applicability of her victory in Texas. This was apparently a story some in the Clarion’s coeterie had heard, but not us. Rush Limbaugh was pushing his listeners to vote for Hillary in Texas!?! With the admitted motive of prolonging the Democratic nomination fight?!? And a with boring, sewn up Republican nomination, as many as 100,000 by some estimates, may have?!?!

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Comments:
Of course Hillary wants to count the votes from Michigan and Florida. So what if Obama's name wasn't even on the Michigan ballot? Win at all costs is her mantra.
 
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